Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.013646 0.015860 0.018304 0.021201 0.024540 0.028266 0.032736
2026-01-11 0.009991 0.012751 0.016080 0.020383 0.025791 0.032356 0.040926
2026-01-18 0.007770 0.010758 0.014645 0.020060 0.027390 0.036951 0.050354
2026-01-25 0.006117 0.009105 0.013265 0.019453 0.028396 0.040817 0.059345
2026-02-01 0.004969 0.007893 0.012219 0.019043 0.029494 0.044841 0.069024
2026-02-08 0.004153 0.006999 0.011445 0.018842 0.030777 0.049199 0.079683
2026-02-15 0.003458 0.006156 0.010590 0.018337 0.031451 0.052637 0.089301
2026-02-22 0.003126 0.005847 0.010530 0.019082 0.034196 0.059634 0.105451
2026-03-01 0.002726 0.005347 0.010058 0.019031 0.035551 0.064448 0.118495
2026-03-08 0.002305 0.004732 0.009283 0.018307 0.035581 0.066934 0.127720
2026-03-15 0.002023 0.004335 0.008843 0.018126 0.036556 0.071173 0.140559
2026-03-22 0.001905 0.004246 0.008980 0.019069 0.039774 0.079897 0.162789
2026-03-29 0.001748 0.004054 0.008893 0.019569 0.042231 0.087548 0.184070
2026-04-05 0.001516 0.003661 0.008332 0.019007 0.042445 0.090817 0.197043
2026-04-12 0.001345 0.003379 0.007965 0.018806 0.043387 0.095664 0.213840
2026-04-19 0.001176 0.003069 0.007489 0.018288 0.043559 0.098907 0.227615
2026-04-26 0.001040 0.002817 0.007107 0.017928 0.044032 0.102834 0.243333
2026-05-03 0.000933 0.002618 0.006821 0.017752 0.044896 0.107711 0.261729
2026-05-10 0.000823 0.002394 0.006440 0.017282 0.044993 0.110841 0.276460
2026-05-17 0.000784 0.002355 0.006520 0.017990 0.048071 0.121280 0.309672
2026-05-24 0.000714 0.002217 0.006321 0.017944 0.049242 0.127286 0.332848
2026-05-31 0.000626 0.002010 0.005907 0.017260 0.048667 0.128941 0.345433
2026-06-07 0.000568 0.001882 0.005691 0.017090 0.049433 0.134045 0.367361